Forthcoming Book
Antifragility, Sept 2012, Random House (US) & Penguin (UK)
Recent Research Papers
The detection heuristic (technical paper) , or a simpler, more intuitive explanation
The Problem is Beyond Psychology: The Real World is More Random than Regression Analyses (Forthcoming, International Journal of Forecasting)
Why we don't know what we are talking about when we talk about probability (NEW)
Why Short Term Fat Tails Means Long Term Fat Tails (debunking illusions of "central limit theorem"; a (technical) reply to Treynor's "What can Taleb Learn From Markowitz?")
Class Material
TECHNICAL WORKS (complete book freely available) [Updated as of Mid 2011]
Technical work (by others) around the idea of The Black Swan
Important (only): gamma -at- fooledbyrandomness-dot-com. (I beg journalists & members of the media to leave me alone.)